Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.195327 0.220206 0.246464 0.276184 0.308830 0.343539 0.383173
2025-06-08 0.160878 0.194239 0.231419 0.275726 0.326883 0.383881 0.451969
2025-06-15 0.139829 0.179106 0.224956 0.282005 0.350623 0.430019 0.528320
2025-06-22 0.120719 0.163291 0.215141 0.282200 0.365828 0.465826 0.593501
2025-06-29 0.105402 0.149973 0.206412 0.282012 0.379383 0.499236 0.656415
2025-07-06 0.092907 0.138625 0.198655 0.281695 0.391820 0.530936 0.717756
2025-07-13 0.083904 0.130805 0.194466 0.285129 0.408544 0.568065 0.786786
2025-07-20 0.077655 0.126034 0.193716 0.292661 0.430519 0.612352 0.866241
2025-07-27 0.070614 0.119298 0.189475 0.294731 0.444726 0.646452 0.933051
2025-08-03 0.065719 0.115212 0.188534 0.301089 0.464765 0.688736 1.011862
2025-08-10 0.061774 0.112149 0.188722 0.308835 0.486791 0.734196 1.096153
2025-08-17 0.056002 0.105568 0.183010 0.307295 0.495079 0.760499 1.154478
2025-08-24 0.050830 0.099612 0.178005 0.306771 0.505198 0.790331 1.219703
2025-08-31 0.046106 0.093925 0.172943 0.305723 0.514299 0.818834 1.283798
2025-09-07 0.043355 0.091406 0.172779 0.312255 0.535013 0.864744 1.374152
2025-09-14 0.039683 0.086829 0.168798 0.312296 0.545529 0.895769 1.443574
2025-09-21 0.036327 0.082475 0.164824 0.311996 0.555308 0.925794 1.512165
2025-09-28 0.033289 0.078400 0.160988 0.311598 0.564737 0.955382 1.580719
2025-10-05 0.031142 0.075857 0.159659 0.315302 0.580814 0.995486 1.666030
2025-10-12 0.029790 0.074792 0.160913 0.323474 0.604436 1.047862 1.771255
2025-10-19 0.027763 0.072091 0.158904 0.325714 0.618161 1.085003 1.853899
2025-10-26 0.026470 0.070834 0.159520 0.332618 0.639906 1.135334 1.958105
2025-11-02 0.025438 0.070044 0.160957 0.341029 0.664443 1.190702 2.071403